Europe warns Trump on ditching Iran nuclear deal

N. Korea unlikely to give up nukes if Iran deal fails – German FM

Our outraged European allies would not capitulate, and would view the United States as a bully acting in bad faith.

An Iran Nuclear Deal summary might find no better place to start than at the basics.

Rather, he suggests the USA and the West use brinksmanship with Iran to improve and extend the deal in the 2023-2025 period - shortly before the deal's nuclear restrictions expire.

But the rhetoric from the Trump administration seems to have unified Iran's factions, and there has been no discernible decrease in Iranian support for armed militants in Yemen, Syria and elsewhere. He should also call for an immediate partnership with Europe to address his biggest concerns with the nuclear agreement. They also knew there were limits to their unity and their leverage.

For example, calling Iran's "Revolutionary Guards Corps" (IRGC) terrorists was a mistake.

While this may be cute politics, it puts America and our allies in direct harm by providing an excuse for Iran to reconstitute its now dormant nuclear program.

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Trump has repeatedly denounced the agreement with Iran. But as previous negotiations with Iran have shown, coercion by itself is unlikely to work.

"Obviously if one country leaves the deal, especially such a key country as the U.S., then that will have negative consequences", Russian President Vladimir Putin's spokesman said.

Trump can then legitimately claim that he has succeeded in beginning to renegotiate the nuclear agreement as he promised.

"We have previously responded and explained that the Iran nuclear deal was an expression of multilateralism in the worldwide community and a good example of how to solve something peacefully through talks", the spokeswoman said.

The US leader has yet to understand that while he may well still aspire to build himself a throne made of knives, sitting on it will be nigh on impossible if he doesn't play a more prudent game with Iran.

The initial USA strike priority will be the fairly sophisticated air defense systems Iran has purchased, partly from the Russians, so follow-up strikes by aircraft can proceed safely.

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The North Rhine-Westphalia intelligence agency reported that Iran used front companies based in United Arab Emirates, Turkey and China, to evade restrictions to obtain nuclear and missile-related technology.

Unilaterally ending US support of the agreement - as President Trump is apparently prepared to do - would mean driving Iran back towards nuclear weapons and nearly certainly some form of nuclear armed ICBM and missile forces, as well as probably triggering new nuclear weapons programs in the Arab world and Turkey.

The establishment's distaste for Trump has led it to reflexively avoid risks. He will argue, falsely, that the agreement is no longer in the national interest of the United States.

Moscow and Beijing will oppose these moves.

The Iran deal, known as Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA, was signed with six global powers in 2015 and came into effect in January 2016. This strategy will also cause consternation in Tehran and erode already grudging openness to nuclear diplomacy.

Facing an October 15 deadline for the recertification that Iran is complying with the deal, Mr. Trump is said to be mulling a plan to invalidate the deal.

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